138 Emerald Bay, Laguna Beach, CA 92651
Laguna Beach, CA 92651
Beds / Baths
4 / 4.5
Square Feet
3,431
Lot Size
8,006 SF
Year Built
2001
Stories
1
Garage
0 car
Pool
No
Submarket
North Laguna
Recon Report
Current Price
$9,895,000
After Repair Value
$9,895,000
Price per SF
$2,884
Avg PSF Post Renovation
$2,358
North Laguna submarket average
Opportunity Indicators ?
76 Days on Market
Pass
$941,586 estimated loss · -73.3% annualized ROI
What looks good
📅
Listed 76 days — some negotiation room
Watch out for
⚠️
No comparable sales found — ARV estimate is uncertain
📈
Price/SF is 22% above submarket average
🔴
Estimated loss of $941,586 at current assumptions
💎
Properties above $5M have thinner buyer pools and longer sell times
🚩
Deal economics do not support a flip at current pricing
Why this estimate could be wrong
ARV is estimated from 5 comparable sales — actual value depends on property condition, updates, and buyer demand at time of sale.
Rehab costs use a market-average $/SF assumption. Actual costs depend on scope of work, contractor pricing, permits, and unforeseen issues (foundation, roof, mold, etc).
Projected sale price assumes current market conditions hold through rehab and listing. Interest rate changes, seasonal shifts, or local market moves could affect the exit price.
This analysis cannot account for property-specific issues only discoverable through inspection: structural problems, environmental hazards, title issues, or zoning restrictions.
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Comparable Sales
Estimated ARV (Based on 5 Comps)
$8,909,800
| Address | Sale Price | Beds/Baths | Sq Ft | $/SF | Similarity | Sale Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328 Emerald Bay Laguna Beach, 92651 |
$8,950,000 | 4/4.5 | 3,833 | $2,335 | 94.1% | 05/16/2025 |
| 78 Emerald Bay Laguna Beach, 92651 |
$9,000,000 | 4/5.0 | 3,762 | $2,392 | 92.7% | 02/17/2026 |
| 349 Emerald Bay Laguna Beach, 92651 |
$7,250,000 | 3/None | 3,363 | $2,156 | 92.0% | 08/28/2025 |
| 1225 Cliff Dr Laguna Beach, 92651 |
$15,999,000 | 4/5.0 | 3,023 | $5,292 | 91.6% | 03/16/2026 |
| 432 Holly St, Laguna Beach, CA 92651 Laguna Beach, 92651 |
$5,690,000 | 4/4.0 | 3,290 | $1,729 | 90.8% | 12/10/2025 |
FlipTarget Score Breakdown
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FlipTarget Score
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